Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-26 0.038486 0.041851 0.045239 0.048898 0.052734 0.056629 0.060877
2025-11-02 0.031649 0.036496 0.041544 0.047167 0.053234 0.059560 0.066633
2025-11-09 0.027194 0.033096 0.039431 0.046679 0.054691 0.063226 0.072956
2025-11-16 0.023773 0.030439 0.037795 0.046417 0.056148 0.066702 0.078930
2025-11-23 0.021974 0.029390 0.037770 0.047785 0.059279 0.071923 0.086752
2025-11-30 0.020321 0.028331 0.037586 0.048845 0.061961 0.076569 0.093885
2025-12-07 0.018698 0.027155 0.037138 0.049489 0.064078 0.080511 0.100175
2025-12-14 0.017012 0.025760 0.036313 0.049586 0.065475 0.083564 0.105405
2025-12-21 0.016056 0.025198 0.036429 0.050749 0.068078 0.087977 0.112174
2025-12-28 0.014301 0.023478 0.035010 0.049961 0.068288 0.089546 0.115610
2026-01-04 0.013178 0.022510 0.034466 0.050188 0.069668 0.092450 0.120571
2026-01-11 0.012362 0.021895 0.034327 0.050878 0.071579 0.095962 0.126231
2026-01-18 0.011547 0.021252 0.034144 0.051526 0.073474 0.099511 0.132018
2026-01-25 0.009911 0.019325 0.032177 0.049827 0.072414 0.099479 0.133535
2026-02-01 0.008872 0.018190 0.031210 0.049365 0.072855 0.101229 0.137158
2026-02-08 0.007997 0.017234 0.030436 0.049114 0.073529 0.103240 0.141080
2026-02-15 0.007727 0.017198 0.030932 0.050540 0.076335 0.107868 0.148169
2026-02-22 0.007378 0.017009 0.031194 0.051642 0.078720 0.111980 0.154643
2026-03-01 0.006929 0.016622 0.031148 0.052311 0.080538 0.115387 0.160263
2026-03-08 0.006357 0.015984 0.030705 0.052412 0.081602 0.117847 0.164723
2026-03-15 0.006120 0.015901 0.031068 0.053615 0.084103 0.122103 0.171390
2026-03-22 0.005391 0.014892 0.030003 0.052801 0.083927 0.122985 0.173899
2026-03-29 0.004971 0.014404 0.029702 0.053035 0.085122 0.125584 0.178520